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Raw Material & Commodity Factors| 30-Day Freight & Raw Material Forecast

Monthly logistics risk analysis covering military, policy, weather, environment, development & raw material factors, 30-day freight & raw material forecast for FCL bundled bulk procurement.

### 6. Raw Material & Commodity Factors Recent 30 Days Key Events 

• Crude oil, resin, textile fiber, kaolin (Dehua porcelain raw material) price volatility, directly affecting footwear, socks, ceramics & beauty goods base costs 

• Seasonal kaolin mining cycles & ceramic raw material supply adjustments for Dehua white porcelain production 

• Packaging paper & accessory raw material price fluctuations, increasing mixed FCL packaging costs

 • Global plastic & cotton raw material price swings affecting daily consumer goods production costs 

Next 30 Days Forecast Risk

 • Crude oil price volatility driving both bunker freight & finished goods raw material costs 

• Seasonal raw material factory maintenance reducing monthly bulk production capacity 

• Upstream commodity price volatility creating unstable FOB base pricing for recurring monthly orders 

• Raw material inland transport bottlenecks impacting fixed monthly FCL shipment schedules